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Di Serio, M., Fragetta, M., Gasteiger, E. & Melina, G. (N/A). The Euro area government spending multiplier in demand- and supply-driven recessions. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. N/A
M. D. Serio et al., "The Euro area government spending multiplier in demand- and supply-driven recessions", in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, vol. N/A, N/A
@article{serioN/A_1721733633129, author = "Di Serio, M. and Fragetta, M. and Gasteiger, E. and Melina, G.", title = "The Euro area government spending multiplier in demand- and supply-driven recessions", journal = "Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics", year = "N/A", volume = "N/A", number = "", doi = "10.1111/obes.12626", url = "https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/14680084" }
TY - JOUR TI - The Euro area government spending multiplier in demand- and supply-driven recessions T2 - Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics VL - N/A AU - Di Serio, M. AU - Fragetta, M. AU - Gasteiger, E. AU - Melina, G. PY - N/A SN - 0305-9049 DO - 10.1111/obes.12626 UR - https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/14680084 AB - We estimate government spending multipliers in demand- and supply-driven recessions for the Euro Area. Multipliers in a moderately demand-driven recession are two to three times larger than in a moderately supply-driven recession, with the difference between multipliers being non-zero with very high probability. More generally, multipliers are inversely correlated with the deviation of inflation from its trend, implying that the more demand-driven a recession, the higher the multiplier. Multipliers range from 0.5 in supply-driven recessions to about 2 in demand-driven recessions. The econometric approach leverages a factor-augmented interacted vector-autoregression model purified of expectations (FAIPVAR-X). The model captures the time-varying state of the business-cycle including strongly and moderately demand- and supply-driven recessions, by taking the whole distribution of inflation deviations from trend into account. ER -