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Caldeira, N., Lopes, R. J., Araújo, D. & Fernandes, D. (2024). The finishing space value for shooting decision-making in high-performance football. Sports. 12 (8)

N. Caldeira et al.,  "The finishing space value for shooting decision-making in high-performance football", in Sports, vol. 12, no. 8, 2024

@article{caldeira2024_1731965130538,
	author = "Caldeira, N. and Lopes, R. J. and Araújo, D. and Fernandes, D.",
	title = "The finishing space value for shooting decision-making in high-performance football",
	journal = "Sports",
	year = "2024",
	volume = "12",
	number = "8",
	doi = "10.3390/sports12080208",
	url = "https://www.mdpi.com/journal/sports"
}

TY  - JOUR
TI  - The finishing space value for shooting decision-making in high-performance football
T2  - Sports
VL  - 12
IS  - 8
AU  - Caldeira, N.
AU  - Lopes, R. J.
AU  - Araújo, D.
AU  - Fernandes, D.
PY  - 2024
SN  - 2075-4663
DO  - 10.3390/sports12080208
UR  - https://www.mdpi.com/journal/sports
AB  - Football players’ decision-making behaviours near the scoring target (finishing situations) emerge from the evolving spatiotemporal information directly perceived in the game’s landscape. In finishing situations, the ball carrier’s decision-making about shooting or passing is not an individual decision-making process, but a collective decision that is guided by players’ perceptions of match affordances. To sustain this idea, we collected spatiotemporal information and built a model to quantify the “Finishing Space Value” (FSV) that results from players’ perceived affordances about two main questions: (a) is the opponent’s target successfully reachable from a given pitch location?; and (b) from each given pitch location, the opposition context will allow enough space to shoot (low adversaries’ interference)? The FSV was calculated with positional data from high-performance football matches, combining information extracted from Voronoi diagrams (VD) with distances and angles to the goal line. FSV was tested using as a reference the opinion of a “panel of expert” (PE), composed by football coaches, about a questionnaire presenting 50 finishing situations. Results showed a strong association between the subjective perception scale used by the PE to assess how probable a shot made by the ball carrier could result in a goal and FSV calculated for that same situation (R2=.6706). Moreover, we demonstrate the accuracy of the FSV quantification model in predicting coaches’ opinions about what should be the “best option” to finish the play. Overall, results indicated that the FSV is a promising model to capture the affordances of the shooting circumstances for the ball carrier’s decision-making in high-performance football. FSV might be useful for more precise match analysis and informing coaches in the design of representative practice tasks.
ER  -