Export Publication

The publication can be exported in the following formats: APA (American Psychological Association) reference format, IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers) reference format, BibTeX and RIS.

Export Reference (APA) 
Belchior, A. M. , Brás, T. & Martins, N. (2024). Voting during the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis: The effects of risk perception and government performance . Análise Social. 59 (253), 2-22
Export Reference (IEEE) 
A. M. Belchior et al.,  "Voting during the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis: The effects of risk perception and government performance ", in Análise Social, vol. 59, no. 253, pp. 2-22, 2024
Export BibTeX 
@article{belchior2024_1765835937146,
	author = "Belchior, A. M.  and Brás, T. and Martins, N.",
	title = "Voting during the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis: The effects of risk perception and government performance ",
	journal = "Análise Social",
	year = "2024",
	volume = "59",
	number = "253",
	doi = "10.31447/202155",
	pages = "2-22",
	url = "https://revistas.rcaap.pt/analisesocial/index"
}
Export RIS 
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Voting during the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis: The effects of risk perception and government performance 
T2  - Análise Social
VL  - 59
IS  - 253
AU  - Belchior, A. M. 
AU  - Brás, T.
AU  - Martins, N.
PY  - 2024
SP  - 2-22
SN  - 0003-2573
DO  - 10.31447/202155
UR  - https://revistas.rcaap.pt/analisesocial/index
AB  - Voting during the peak of the covid-19 pandemic crisis: the effects of risk perception and government performance. The 2021 Portuguese presidential election took place during a peak of the covid-19 pandemic crisis. This unprecedent context led to the expectation of a very low turnout. Furthermore, the incumbent was declared in advance as the undisputed winner, which also contributed to this expectation. If, on the one hand, turnout was not as dramatically low as anticipated, on the other hand, Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa was unsurprisingly re-elected by a wide margin. Given this exceptional environment, the question we pose is: to what extent has the pandemic crisis affected turnout and the election result? We argue that it will have negatively affected turnout (due to voters’ fear of being infected), and will have positively contributed to the incumbent’s re-election (due to voters’ positive performance evaluations of the government in the face of the crisis). We support our analysis on a representative survey of the Portuguese voters, fielded right after the election was held.

*****************************************************************************************************************************

Eleições durante o pico da covid-19: os efeitos da perceção de risco e do desempenho do governo. As eleições presidenciais portuguesas de 2021 decorreram durante o pico da crise pandémica da covid-19. Previa-se uma reduzida afluência às urnas por causa do contexto epidemiológico inédito e porque o titular do cargo era visto, antecipadamente, como vencedor indiscutível das eleições. Se, por um lado, a afluência às urnas não foi tão dramaticamente baixa como se previa, por outro, Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa foi reeleito, sem surpresa, por uma larga margem. Dado o ambiente excecional em que estas eleições decorreram, a questão que colocamos é a seguinte: em que medida é que a crise pandémica afetou a afluência às urnas e o resultado das eleições? Argumentamos que terá afetado negativamente a afluência às urnas (devido ao receio dos eleitores de serem infetados) e que terá contribuído positivamente para a reeleição do titular do cargo (devido às avaliações positivas do seu desempenho face à crise). A nossa análise baseia-se num inquérito representativo dos eleitores portugueses, realizado logo após as eleições.


ER  -