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Cardoso-Grilo, T., Kalakou, S. & Vicente, J. J. (2026). Dual goals, one fleet: An optimization model for balancing cost-emission trade-offs when planning mixed bus fleets. International Journal of Systems Science-Operations & Logistics. 13 (1)
T. S. Grilo et al., "Dual goals, one fleet: An optimization model for balancing cost-emission trade-offs when planning mixed bus fleets", in Int. Journal of Systems Science-Operations & Logistics, vol. 13, no. 1, 2026
@article{grilo2026_1777262511943,
author = "Cardoso-Grilo, T. and Kalakou, S. and Vicente, J. J.",
title = "Dual goals, one fleet: An optimization model for balancing cost-emission trade-offs when planning mixed bus fleets",
journal = "International Journal of Systems Science-Operations & Logistics",
year = "2026",
volume = "13",
number = "1",
doi = "10.1080/23302674.2026.2658693",
url = "https://www.tandfonline.com/journals/tsyb20"
}
TY - JOUR TI - Dual goals, one fleet: An optimization model for balancing cost-emission trade-offs when planning mixed bus fleets T2 - International Journal of Systems Science-Operations & Logistics VL - 13 IS - 1 AU - Cardoso-Grilo, T. AU - Kalakou, S. AU - Vicente, J. J. PY - 2026 SN - 2330-2674 DO - 10.1080/23302674.2026.2658693 UR - https://www.tandfonline.com/journals/tsyb20 AB - Public transport operators relying on diesel fleets face increasing pressure to adopt environmentally sustainable solutions. Integrating electric vehicles into existing systems represents a promising but complex transition, requiring system-level planning under multiple, policy-oriented scenarios. This study adopts a systems science perspective to address this challenge, recognising the interdependencies among fleet composition, battery technologies, charging infrastructure and policy constraints. To support integrated decision-making, it introduces a mixed-integer linear optimisation model—the MultOptMixedFleet—that determines the optimal mix of electric and non-electric buses, selects suitable battery capacities and identifies strategic charging locations and types. The model formulates fleet electrification as a multi-objective optimisation problem, capturing trade-offs between cost and environmental performance. Applied to a Portuguese public transport provider, the model demonstrates its practical value as a decision-support tool for managers and policymakers seeking cost-effective and low-emission transition strategies. Results show that progressive electrification delivers major emission reductions: fully replacing diesel buses lowers emission-related costs by approximately 67% compared with fully non-electric fleets. Although electrification increases total system costs, longer battery lifecycles mitigate this effect by reducing annual operating and investment costs by 6% and 33%, respectively. Overall, the study highlights the importance of systems-oriented modelling for sustainable operations and logistics. ER -
English