Exportar Publicação

Dias, J. G. & Ramos, S. (2014). Energy price dynamics in the U.S. market. Insights from a heterogeneous multi-regime framework. Energy. 68, 327-336

J. M. Dias and S. C. Ramos,  "Energy price dynamics in the U.S. market. Insights from a heterogeneous multi-regime framework", in Energy, vol. 68, pp. 327-336, 2014

@article{dias2014_1734885271624,
	author = "Dias, J. G. and Ramos, S.",
	title = "Energy price dynamics in the U.S. market. Insights from a heterogeneous multi-regime framework",
	journal = "Energy",
	year = "2014",
	volume = "68",
	number = "",
	doi = "10.1016/j.energy.2014.01.077",
	pages = "327-336",
	url = "http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544214000991"
}

TY  - JOUR
TI  - Energy price dynamics in the U.S. market. Insights from a heterogeneous multi-regime framework
T2  - Energy
VL  - 68
AU  - Dias, J. G.
AU  - Ramos, S.
PY  - 2014
SP  - 327-336
SN  - 0360-5442
DO  - 10.1016/j.energy.2014.01.077
UR  - http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544214000991
AB  - Energy is a key input in investment decision making with a well-known effect on economic growth. Inelasticity of energy demand urges an understanding of its price dynamics. This paper makes a joint analysis of the price of oil, natural gas, and electricity in U.S. markets using a multi-regime specification that captures the stylized facts of energy prices. Oil and natural gas returns have similar regime dynamics and are well characterized by a high and low volatility regime. Electricity returns have to be parameterized with more regimes: a low volatility, a price spike, and a mean-reverting regime. The California crisis period stands out as a sole regime with extremely high volatility. Our methodology allows the synchronization among regimes to be studied and we find that electricity prices tend to be synchronized in U.S. wholesale markets, while natural gas returns show synchronization with electricity returns in the low volatility regime. 
ER  -