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Moro, S. & Rita, P. (2016). Forecasting tomorrow’s tourist. Worldwide Hospitality and Tourism Themes. 8 (6), 643-653
S. M. Moro and P. M. Rita, "Forecasting tomorrow’s tourist", in Worldwide Hospitality and Tourism Themes, vol. 8, no. 6, pp. 643-653, 2016
@article{moro2016_1775859553785,
author = "Moro, S. and Rita, P.",
title = "Forecasting tomorrow’s tourist",
journal = "Worldwide Hospitality and Tourism Themes",
year = "2016",
volume = "8",
number = "6",
doi = "10.1108/WHATT-09-2016-0046",
pages = "643-653",
url = "http://www.emeraldinsight.com/doi/abs/10.1108/WHATT-09-2016-0046"
}
TY - JOUR TI - Forecasting tomorrow’s tourist T2 - Worldwide Hospitality and Tourism Themes VL - 8 IS - 6 AU - Moro, S. AU - Rita, P. PY - 2016 SP - 643-653 SN - 1755-4217 DO - 10.1108/WHATT-09-2016-0046 UR - http://www.emeraldinsight.com/doi/abs/10.1108/WHATT-09-2016-0046 AB - Purpose: This study aims to present a very recent literature review on tourism demand forecasting based on 50 relevant articles published between 2013 and June 2016. Design/methodology/approach: For searching the literature, the 50 most relevant articles according to Google Scholar ranking were selected and collected. Then, each of the articles were scrutinized according to three main dimensions: the method or technique used for analyzing data; the location of the study; and the covered timeframe. Findings: The most widely used modeling technique continues to be time series, confirming a trend identified prior to 2011. Nevertheless, artificial intelligence techniques, and most notably neural networks, are clearly becoming more used in recent years for tourism forecasting. This is a relevant subject for journals related to other social sciences, such as Economics, and also tourism data constitute an excellent source for developing novel modeling techniques. Originality/value: The present literature review offers recent insights on tourism forecasting scientific literature, providing evidences on current trends and revealing interesting research gaps. ER -
English