Export Publication

The publication can be exported in the following formats: APA (American Psychological Association) reference format, IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers) reference format, BibTeX and RIS.

Export Reference (APA) 
Curto, J. (2021). COVID-19 in 38 countries: A structural breaks approach. International Journal of Ecological Economics and Statistics. 42 (2), 14-32
Export Reference (IEEE) 
J. J. Curto,  "COVID-19 in 38 countries: A structural breaks approach", in Int. Journal of Ecological Economics and Statistics, vol. 42, no. 2, pp. 14-32, 2021
Export BibTeX 
@article{curto2021_1716197281936,
	author = "Curto, J.",
	title = "COVID-19 in 38 countries: A structural breaks approach",
	journal = "International Journal of Ecological Economics and Statistics",
	year = "2021",
	volume = "42",
	number = "2",
	pages = "14-32",
	url = "http://ceser.in/ceserp/index.php/ijees/about/subscriptions"
}
Export RIS 
TY  - JOUR
TI  - COVID-19 in 38 countries: A structural breaks approach
T2  - International Journal of Ecological Economics and Statistics
VL  - 42
IS  - 2
AU  - Curto, J.
PY  - 2021
SP  - 14-32
SN  - 0973-1385
UR  - http://ceser.in/ceserp/index.php/ijees/about/subscriptions
AB  - In this paper we estimate econometric models of daily data on the number of new cases from COVID-19. Our primary purpose is to test for the presence of structural breaks in each time series and then to incorporate these breaks in the estimation process. Government Response Stringency Index is also included as explanatory variable and interacting with the factor variables resulting from the breaks. We found different number and different dates for the structural breaks across the countries. We also observe that the last structural break is more or less contemporaneous for most of countries (24 in 38). By considering the curvature of the quadratic function we can guess if the peak already occurred. Latin America, Australia, Asia and Africa countries seem to reach already the peak. The same conclusion does not apply to European countries, USA and Canada. Including the GRSI increases the fit significantly.
ER  -