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A publicação pode ser exportada nos seguintes formatos: referência da APA (American Psychological Association), referência do IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers), BibTeX e RIS.

Exportar Referência (APA)
Sequeira, J., Louçã, J., Mendes, A. M. & Lind, P. G. (2022). Using the Hurst exponent and entropy measures to predict effective transmissibility in empirical series of malaria incidence. Applied Sciences. 12 (1)
Exportar Referência (IEEE)
J. Sequeira et al.,  "Using the Hurst exponent and entropy measures to predict effective transmissibility in empirical series of malaria incidence", in Applied Sciences, vol. 12, no. 1, 2022
Exportar BibTeX
@article{sequeira2022_1784401844461,
	author = "Sequeira, J. and Louçã, J. and Mendes, A. M. and Lind, P. G.",
	title = "Using the Hurst exponent and entropy measures to predict effective transmissibility in empirical series of malaria incidence",
	journal = "Applied Sciences",
	year = "2022",
	volume = "12",
	number = "1",
	doi = "10.3390/app12010496",
	url = "https://www.mdpi.com/journal/applsci"
}
Exportar RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Using the Hurst exponent and entropy measures to predict effective transmissibility in empirical series of malaria incidence
T2  - Applied Sciences
VL  - 12
IS  - 1
AU  - Sequeira, J.
AU  - Louçã, J.
AU  - Mendes, A. M.
AU  - Lind, P. G.
PY  - 2022
SN  - 2076-3417
DO  - 10.3390/app12010496
UR  - https://www.mdpi.com/journal/applsci
AB  - We analyze the empirical series of malaria incidence, using the concepts of autocorrelation, Hurst exponent and Shannon entropy with the aim of uncovering hidden variables in those series. From the simulations of an agent model for malaria spreading, we first derive models of the malaria incidence, the Hurst exponent and the entropy as functions of gametocytemia, measuring the infectious power of a mosquito to a human host. Second, upon estimating the values of three observables—incidence, Hurst exponent and entropy—from the data set of different malaria empirical series we predict a value of the gametocytemia for each observable. Finally, we show that the independent predictions show considerable consistency with only a few exceptions which are discussed in further detail.
ER  -