Talk
Does data frequency mean better stock market forecasting performance? The German and US case study
Nuno Ferreira (Ferreira, N. B.); Diana Mendes (Mendes, D. A.); Vivaldo Mendes (Mendes, V.);
Event Title
1st Artificial Intelligence in Finance Conference (AIIFC)
Year (definitive publication)
2024
Language
English
Country
United States of America
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Abstract
This paper aims to analyze if time series frequency is related to better forecast performance. We analyze two time series from G7 economies, NASDAQ and DAX, for 5 minutes, and daily frequency. The implemented algorithms are deep learning recurrent neural networks, particularly some variations of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) architectures (LSTM, BiLSTM). Random search hyperparameter tuning was used to obtain the model architecture that minimize the loss function. We obtained better results for the 5-minute intraday frequency for both time series, and the forecast improved by 1%.
Acknowledgements
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