Scientific journal paper Q1
Does one size fit all in the Euro Area? Some counterfactual evidence
Sergio Destefanis (Destefanis, S.); Matteo Fragetta (Fragetta, M.); Emanuel Gasteiger (Gasteiger, E.);
Journal Title
Empirical Economics
Year (definitive publication)
2024
Language
English
Country
United Kingdom
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Abstract
This paper examines whether Euro Area countries would have faced a more favorable inflation output variability tradeoff without the Euro. We provide evidence supporting this claim for the periods of the Great Recession and the Sovereign Debt Crisis. The deterioration of the tradeoff becomes insignificant only after Draghi’s ‘whatever it takes’ announcement. Results show that the detrimental effect of the Euro is more severe for peripheral countries. We base our results on a novel empirical strategy that, consistent with monetary theory, models the joint determination of the variability of inflation and output conditional on structural supply and demand shocks.
Acknowledgements
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Keywords
Euro Area,Monetary policy,Difference-in-differences
  • Mathematics - Natural Sciences
  • Economics and Business - Social Sciences
  • Other Social Sciences - Social Sciences
Funding Records
Funding Reference Funding Entity
UIDB/00315/2020 Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia