Scientific journal paper Q3
Economic policy uncertainty and cryptocurrencies: A country-level wavelet analysis
José Almeida (Almeida, J.); Tiago Cruz Gonçalves (Gonçalves, T. C. );
Journal Title
Journal of Alternative Investments
Year (definitive publication)
2024
Language
English
Country
United States of America
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Abstract
This article employs a wavelet-based methodology to analyze and characterize the relationships between cryptocurrencies and country-specific economic policy uncertainty (EPU). The authors analyze these relationships over the different stages of the COVID pandemic (pre-COVID, COVID, and post-COVID), and across various investment frequencies. Their results show that the cryptomarket does not function as a hedge or safe haven against economic policy uncertainty at the country level. Moreover, they find these relationships to be dynamic, evolving across specific time periods. Notably, during the COVID-19 pandemic, there was an increase in relationships, indicating the pandemic’s impact on market dynamics. Their analysis highlights the prevalence of these relationships at short-term investment horizons, noting the significant participation of retail investors actively involved in high-frequency trading. Lastly, the findings strongly align with the adaptive market hypothesis (AMH), emphasizing that investor behavior is subject to behavioral biases, and rationality is not always evident.
Acknowledgements
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Keywords
  • Economics and Business - Social Sciences
Funding Records
Funding Reference Funding Entity
UI/BD/151446/2021 Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
UID/SOC/04521/2020 Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia