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Publication Detailed Description
Economics and retrofit
Book Title
Natural and man-made hazard impact on urban areas - Impactul hazardurilor naturale ?i antropice asupra ariilor urbane
Year (definitive publication)
2017
Language
English
Country
Romania
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Abstract
The purpose of this mission is to explore an aspect of disaster management to
which little research exists, namely the economic aspects. The topic is based on
over 10 years of dealing with the subject, and while this will lead to a transfer of
knowledge to the host institution, the new aspects related to the activity of the
COST action IS1104 will contribute to the professional development of the
grantee. The priority areas of the COST action touched are the roles of game
theory, agent based modeling and to lesser extent networks and urban public
policies in designing decision systems for earthquake risk management. The
accent here lays mainly on game theory, and on the way cooperative action is
modeled, since intervention in case of a disaster involves multiple actors.
Therefore, also alternatives to game theory such as drama theory will be looked
at, in a comprehensive literature review. Aim is to design which components of
the real situation can be brought in the abstract (IT) model of a game to support
decision making between the actors involved in decision about preventive
retrofit compared to post-earthquake repair, the so-called planned conservation.
The difference between the mathematical model in collaborative game theory
and the architectural/urban approach of designing participative processes
through games will be investigated and reported on. These aspects relate to
urban policies. At the same time, the involvement of these multiple actors in the
decision system links to agent based modeling. The aim of the research in this
context will be setting up a comparison between the classical decision making
(by means of computer supported expert opinion consulting) with computer
simulated agent based modeling, drawing conclusions on the advantages and the
disadvantages of the two approaches. The above mentioned drama theory and
the related conflict solving software are the first part of the equation, where the
balancing is done by the experts. Agent based modeling has been however
successfully applied in designing resource allocation systems after an
earthquake event, a moment in planning which links to the third component
related to the action, the networks. In this particular field to which the proposed
STSM is related street networks have been identified playing a key role. The
outcome will be the respective comparison tables and the ontology of the model.
Acknowledgements
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Keywords