Electricity market price analysis using time series clustering
Event Title
16th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)
Year (definitive publication)
2019
Language
English
Country
Slovenia
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Abstract
The creation of the internal market of electricity has
long been a goal of the European Union, for which it has established
common rules through the directive 2009/72/EC. In this
context, the analysis of electricity markets operation of the different
countries that will form the internal market is of the utmost
importance.
In this work, we use clustering techniques to analyze 26 time series
of day-ahead electricity prices from European markets between
2015 and 2018 in order to identify different price patterns.
The cluster technique proposed uses a combination of three dissimilarity
measures for time series: Euclidean, Pearson correlation
based and periodogram based.
Results show that there is a clear distinction between Northern
markets, especially Nord Pool, and Southern markets, MIBEL
and Italy. Moreover, results also show that despite some market
prices presenting similar behaviors, a full integrated European
electricity market is yet to be accomplished.
Acknowledgements
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Keywords
Clustering,Electricity markets,Market integration,Time series.
Fields of Science and Technology Classification
- Physical Sciences - Natural Sciences