Scientific journal paper Q3
Factors driving the population growth and decline of Portuguese cities
Ana Paula Barreira (Barreira, A. P.); Joaquim Ramalho (Ramalho, J. J. S.); Thomas Panagopoulos (Panagopoulos, T.); Maria Helena Guimarães (Guimarães, M. H.);
Journal Title
Growth and Change
Year (definitive publication)
2017
Language
English
Country
United States of America
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Abstract
Despite the worldwide trend of urbanisation, data reveal that some cities are growing whereas others are losing inhabitants. To assess such dynamics in Portuguese cities, demographic, employment, housing, and climate variables were analysed as possible drivers of population change for the period 1991–2011. Panel data models show that higher shares of employment in the secondary and tertiary sectors, higher maximum temperatures, and a higher proportion of middle-aged vacant houses act as pull factors attracting inhabitants, whereas a higher unemployment rate is a push factor for cities.
Acknowledgements
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Keywords
  • Social and Economic Geography - Social Sciences
Funding Records
Funding Reference Funding Entity
EXPL/ATP-EUR/0464/2013 Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
UID/GES/00315/2013 Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia