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Publication Detailed Description
Modeling insurgent-incumbent dynamics: vector autoregressions, multivariate Markov chains, and the nature of technological competition
Document Title
REM Working Paper 044-2018
Year (definitive publication)
2018
Language
English
Country
Portugal
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Abstract
The struggle between sail and steam is a long-standing theme in economic history. But this technological competition story has only partly tackled, since most studies have appreciated the rivalry between the two alternative modes of commercial sea carriage in the late 19th century while the early period has remained relatively under-analysed. This paper models the early dynamics between the two capital goods using a vector autoregression approach (VAR) and a Multivariate Markov Chain approach (MMC). We find evidence that the relationship was nonlinear, with a strong indication of complementarities and cross-technology learning effects.
Acknowledgements
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Keywords
Economic history,Technological competition,Sailing ships,Steamships,Vector autoregression,Multivariate Markov chains
Fields of Science and Technology Classification
- Physical Sciences - Natural Sciences
Funding Records
| Funding Reference | Funding Entity |
|---|---|
| UID/GES/00315/2013 | Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia |
