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Descrição Detalhada da Publicação
Título Revista
SOP Transactions on Applied Mathematics
Ano (publicação definitiva)
2014
Língua
Inglês
País
Estados Unidos da América
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Abstract/Resumo
The Real Options approach has proved to be a suitable methodology for capturing the flexibility
in the investment decision process. This is very useful for the financial evaluation of R&D projects
where there are several possible decisions concerning to the investment – delaying, improving
or abandoning. Since the risk of an R&D project is usually due to singular characteristics of
the project and is uncorrelated with the financial markets, the contingent claims analysis may
be not adequate to value R&D projects. Based on a dynamic programming evaluation model,
presented in Huchzermeier and Loch [1], we propose an approach to valuing a portfolio of R&D
projects with a budget. Specifically, considering a budget constraint, we make an extension of
the model mentioned above for assessing the projects in the portfolio simultaneously. To test the
proposed evaluation procedure, we generated several R&D portfolios with different dimensions
and characteristics. According to our computational experience, the main conclusions are
presented.
Agradecimentos/Acknowledgements
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Palavras-chave
Stochastic dynamic programming; Project evaluation; R&D project; Real options