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François Pétry, Robert Thomson, Elin Naurin, Belchior, Ana Maria, Heinz Brandenburg, Dominic Duval...Henrik Oscarsson (2017). Citizens’ evaluations of campaign pledges fulfillment in six countries. 113th APSA Annual Meeting.
F. Petry et al., "Citizens’ evaluations of campaign pledges fulfillment in six countries", in 113th APSA Annu. Meeting, San Francisco, 2017
@misc{petry2017_1711691837119, author = "François Pétry and Robert Thomson and Elin Naurin and Belchior, Ana Maria and Heinz Brandenburg and Dominic Duval and Justin Leinaweaver and Henrik Oscarsson", title = "Citizens’ evaluations of campaign pledges fulfillment in six countries", year = "2017" }
TY - CPAPER TI - Citizens’ evaluations of campaign pledges fulfillment in six countries T2 - 113th APSA Annual Meeting AU - François Pétry AU - Robert Thomson AU - Elin Naurin AU - Belchior, Ana Maria AU - Heinz Brandenburg AU - Dominic Duval AU - Justin Leinaweaver AU - Henrik Oscarsson PY - 2017 CY - San Francisco AB - Relying on recent national election surveys, we compare citizens’ evaluations of the fulfillment of 36 specific campaign pledges in Canada, Great Britain, Ireland, Portugal, Sweden and the United-States. We find that citizens’ evaluations are accurate (they match actual government performance) 62% of the time. In order to arrive at their verdicts as to whether specific pledges are fulfilled or not, citizens often use heuristic shortcuts such as party ID and political trust. We show that the use of these heuristic shortcuts is a double edged sword. Why they help citizens to make accurate evaluations in some circumstances, under different circumstances the same shortcuts mislead citizens into making inaccurate evaluations. We also find that the accuracy of evaluations increases with an increase in the level of political knowledge of respondents. ER -