Comunicação em evento científico
Citizens’ evaluations of campaign pledges fulfillment in six countries
François Pétry (François Pétry); Robert Thomson (Robert Thomson); Elin Naurin (Elin Naurin); Ana Maria Belchior (Belchior, Ana Maria); Heinz Brandenburg (Heinz Brandenburg); Dominic Duval (Dominic Duval); Justin Leinaweaver (Justin Leinaweaver ); Henrik Oscarsson (Henrik Oscarsson); et al.
Título Evento
113th APSA Annual Meeting
Estados Unidos da América
Mais Informação
Relying on recent national election surveys, we compare citizens’ evaluations of the fulfillment of 36 specific campaign pledges in Canada, Great Britain, Ireland, Portugal, Sweden and the United-States. We find that citizens’ evaluations are accurate (they match actual government performance) 62% of the time. In order to arrive at their verdicts as to whether specific pledges are fulfilled or not, citizens often use heuristic shortcuts such as party ID and political trust. We show that the use of these heuristic shortcuts is a double edged sword. Why they help citizens to make accurate evaluations in some circumstances, under different circumstances the same shortcuts mislead citizens into making inaccurate evaluations. We also find that the accuracy of evaluations increases with an increase in the level of political knowledge of respondents.