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Miller, S. M., Martins, L. F. & Gupta, R. (2019). A time-varying approach of the us welfare cost of inflation . Macroeconomic Dynamics. 23 (2), 775-796
S. Miller et al., "A time-varying approach of the us welfare cost of inflation ", in Macroeconomic Dynamics, vol. 23, no. 2, pp. 775-796, 2019
@article{miller2019_1732208458082, author = "Miller, S. M. and Martins, L. F. and Gupta, R.", title = "A time-varying approach of the us welfare cost of inflation ", journal = "Macroeconomic Dynamics", year = "2019", volume = "23", number = "2", doi = "10.1017/S1365100517000037", pages = "775-796", url = "https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/macroeconomic-dynamics/article/timevarying-approach-of-the-us-welfare-cost-of-inflation/0C866963ABF1BA807CB7B60C96201A6D#" }
TY - JOUR TI - A time-varying approach of the us welfare cost of inflation T2 - Macroeconomic Dynamics VL - 23 IS - 2 AU - Miller, S. M. AU - Martins, L. F. AU - Gupta, R. PY - 2019 SP - 775-796 SN - 1365-1005 DO - 10.1017/S1365100517000037 UR - https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/macroeconomic-dynamics/article/timevarying-approach-of-the-us-welfare-cost-of-inflation/0C866963ABF1BA807CB7B60C96201A6D# AB - Money-demand specifications exhibit instability, especially for long spans of data. This paper reconsiders the welfare cost of inflation for the US economy using a flexible time-varying (TV) cointegration methodology to estimate the money-demand function. We find evidence that the TV cointegration estimation provides a better fit of the actual data than a time-invariant estimation and that the throughout unitary income elasticity only exists for the log–log form over the entire sample period. Our estimate of the welfare cost of inflation for a 10% inflation rate lies in the range of 0.025–0.75% of gross domestic product (GDP) and averages 0.27%. In sum, our findings fall well within the ranges of existing studies of the welfare cost of inflation. We find that the welfare cost averages 7.4% higher during expansions than recessions for 10% inflation rate. Finally, the interest elasticity of money demand shows substantial variability over our sample period. ER -