Artigo em revista científica Q1
A voter-led cordon sanitaire: coordination failure on the right and negative voting in Portugal’s 2026 presidential elections
Hugo Ferrinho Lopes (Ferrinho Lopes, H.); Pedro Magalhães (Magalhães, Pedro);
Título Revista
South European Society and Politics
Ano (publicação definitiva)
N/A
Língua
Inglês
País
Reino Unido
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Abstract/Resumo
Right-of-center candidates won close to two-thirds of the first-round vote in Portugal’s 2026 presidential election, yet none reached the presidency. Right-wing fragmentation was a coordination failure that sent André Ventura (Chega; Enough) to the run-off, where António José Seguro (Socialist Party) beat him two to one. Right-wing voters coalesced against Ventura without party cues. For 28.5 per cent of Seguro’s voters this was negative voting: a ballot cast against Ventura, not for him. Among right-wing voters, attitudes and ideology distinguished those who crossed the left-right divide to vote for Seguro from those who chose Ventura, while partisanship did not. They drew a line their parties would not, because it rested on what they believed rather than on whom they followed.
Agradecimentos/Acknowledgements
We are grateful to Frederico Ferreira da Silva and Marina Costa Lobo for sharing the post-electoral survey data. We also thank the Editor as well as the reviewers for helpful comments.
Palavras-chave
  • Sociologia - Ciências Sociais
  • Ciências Políticas - Ciências Sociais