Artigo em revista científica Q1
The effect of ministerial instability on government’s mandate fulfilment: Evidence from the Portuguese case
Ana Maria Belchior (Belchior, A. M.); Pedro Silveira (Silveira, P.);
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Swiss Political Science Review
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Research on the fulfilment of electoral promises has been particularly fruitful over the past decades. Most of it focused on examining pledge fulfilment at the cabinet level, and little emphasis was placed on the reasons underlying the level of compliance. As a consequence, core factors in explaining pledge fulfilment have not yet been explored. One such factor might be instability in a government’s internal functioning. We argue that ministerial instability is relevant for explaining a government’s broken promises, and that its importance increases at the junior minister level and among the most salient ministries. Relying on data on the fulfilment of electoral promises and ministerial instability in Portugal between 1995 and 2019, backed by interviews with former ministers and junior ministers, we provide evidence that the fulfilment of electoral promises is significantly influenced by portfolio volatility, particularly at the junior ministerial level and in the most important ministries.
The research reported in the article has benefited from funding from the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT, Grant nº.PTDC/IVC-CPO/3921/2012). The revision of this text was as well supported by the Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Government policymaking,Ministerial instability,Ministry salience,Party pledges,Portugal
  • Ciências Políticas - Ciências Sociais
Registos de financiamentos
Referência de financiamento Entidade Financiadora
PTDC/IVC-CPO/3921/2012 Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
UIDB/03126/2020 Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia