Artigo em revista científica Q3
The performance of deterministic and stochastic interest rate risk measures: another question of dimensions?
Luis Oliveira (Oliveira, L.); João Nunes (Nunes, J.); Luís Malcato (Malcato, L.);
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Portuguese Economic Journal
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The efficiency of traditional and stochastic interest rate risk measures is compared under one-, two-, and three-factor no-arbitrage Gauss-Markov term structure models, and for different immunization periods. The empirical analysis, run on the German Treasury bond market from January 2000 to December 2010, suggests that: i) Stochastic interest rate risk measures provide better portfolio immunization than the Fisher-Weil duration; and ii) The superiority of the stochastic risk measures is more evident for multi-factor models and for longer investment horizons. These findings are supported by a first-order stochastic dominance analysis, and are robust against yield curve estimation errors.
Interest rate risk; Asset-liability management; Immunization strategies; Stochastic duration ; Stochastic dominance
  • Economia e Gestão - Ciências Sociais